When the subject of dwindling energy resources is raised, the most likely response I get from locals is that there is plenty of oil, but the corporations lie about it so that they can charge high prices at the pump. The people who say this know nothing of the data behind peak oil calculations or that, far from crying poverty, for many years international agencies, governments, and corporations were precisely saying that there is plenty of oil in the ground and that peaks and shortages are not expected for many decades.
The second most likely response I get is agreement that oil is clearly running out, but new wells may yet be discovered and, who knows, there may be an organism that excretes oil. These arguments not only ignore the data on production, but also that discoveries and organisms would have to keep up not only with current use, but with our expansionary economic system. India, China, and Africa will not be satisfied for long without getting their chance to live the high-energy consumption dream.
The third response I get is from people who are also peak oil and earth advocates, but argue that alien technology combined with black operation technologies will eventually replace oil, gas, and nuclear energy.
Obviously, if you throw elements into the equation on par with aliens, it is hard to impossible to have a complete discussion on the matter. We can start by first assuming that the leaders of the pro-alien technology are honest and sincere, but the leaders are admittedly without prototypes of the technology in question. Until an actual prototype surfaces, we are left with an argument that fails to amount to a serious response to the peak oil dilemma.
Second, the pro-alien argument fails to connect a few important dots. It may very well be that a technology -- alien-based or otherwise -- exists that can decentralize the production of electricity and power homes, cars, offices, and stores. Perhaps this technology can even handle transportation of people and goods. But the distance between producing electricity, even unlimited amounts, and producing food is still very great. Food is not currently produced by large amounts of energy in the form of electricity or electric engines. Soil is not treated with electricity, tractors of any real power don't run on electricity, and battery power of the kind that can deliver 200 hp to a vehicle moving at 2 mph does not currently exist.
In all the years that I've listened to the pro-alien camp, I never once heard mention of an alien Duracell. Let's grant that there is life on other worlds and that many of those worlds are in higher ages than ours. Let's grant that some might have figured out the energy question. Let's even grant that humanity is somehow in possession of such a technology. It still does not follow that current levels of food production can be sustained because food -- and by that I mean nutritious food -- is something that comes from a combination of many things in a richly diversified biosphere. Technology plays a big role in our current food production modality, but endless electricity does not solve our agricultural dilemma. As a farmer, I can't even depend on endless water, even if I am promised endless electricity of the type that can run several 75 hp engines 24/7 -- a lot more energy than is required by an average household.
A meme I once wrote runs, "Every light source gives off waste." In the broadest sense, every human being is a light source. Perhaps the light of knowledge gives off no waste, but the disseminator of knowledge, a human being, inexorably must. No matter what aliens we invite into our energy equation, the more people on this planet means more and more waste. This waste directly contributes to pollution, desertification and deforestation, and wasted energies squandered in conflicts. Centralized powers would certainly be upset over an alien introduction of whatever kind, but even a relatively smooth transition does not imply that our wasteful habits will suddenly vanish. Alien technology in the service of ignorance and neglect will only amplify both, leading to the same demise that lesser technologies directly promised
Even if a technology reflects higher age thinking, it will become destructive if employed by a destructive species.
So, I don't see much of any promise in the hope for an alien rescue. I would welcome it, and I am sure that if we can stabilize our numbers and make education globally available we could certainly do away with centralized powers, economic and otherwise, and live more spiritual, scientific, and healthy lives. Perhaps if it was introduced quickly enough, as in yesterday, and was coupled with a fundamental shift in human thinking that moved us toward peaceful depopulation and holistic methods of agriculture, we could avoid greater disasters. But from all I've heard so far, even then it doesn't change the fact that our numbers are not sustainable. Neither does it change the ethical or moral concern that there is no merit in finding a technology that makes seven billion or more humans feasible.
And that is the one thing I yet find in the pro-alien camp that is disturbing. They want a change in the power structure; they agree that oil is destructive albeit waning energy source; and they express a love for humanity, if not all life here and beyond. But they are also of the no-pain persuasion, as if humanity can face its energy challenges and population challenges and pollution challenges all at once without any pain, so long as the alien's are permitted by the powers that be to save the day.
This smacks a bit to hard of a Jesus answer, or magic bullet theory, or a cure-all tonic. If there is one thing I am absolutely and unequivocally certain about in my life and in response to the hell hole that humanity has dug for itself, it is that the answer lies in diversity. It lies in a polyculture of involvement and cooperation and input. Even if the alien's have the technology at our doorstep, no one thing is going to solve everything. Life, nature, and humans do not operate that way. If anything, the unified or monolithic answer only creates more and more problems because they lack the nuance, subtlety, and adaptability that the polylithic offers.
In diversity, we are able to listen and respond to a multiplicity of events and issues. We can decentralize and yet have communication that is central. No one is silenced but yet the capacity of science to silence the false prophets who administer mere placebos is respected. We can and will then take this approach to all branches of life such as medicine and governance, not just agriculture. We will mimic nature, the ultimate diversity, in its uncanny and perfect way of conserving energy. Even endless energy will not be seen as a cookie jar, but a responsibility.
And when it comes to spiritual evolution, humanity does not jump. A Treta-age (where even time is not an obstacle) technology requires Treta-age maturity. Without it, the technology leads to the same products of self that employed it, had it used sticks and stones to accomplish the same task.
So I reject the pro-alien element when it comes to the challenges that lie before us.
Let's also bear in mind that to date, no prototype has been delivered. The few pieces of sound evidence of aliens does not amount to a fait accompli, and those few pieces are hard to come by as they are awash in a sea of fraudulent material. Without more concrete evidence, we might as well be talking about Joseph Smith's gold tablets or angels here to wipe all of our tears away. I would be the first to welcome the visitors from other places but I think we earn their company most through self-reliance.